Fed Rate Hike Uncertainty Looms After Mixed Jobs Report
The speeches delivered in Jackson Hole failed to significantly influence implied rates in the market, and the prevailing expectation remains that the Federal Reserve will maintain the Fed Funds Rate in September. This sentiment persists despite Powell's remarks indicating their preparedness to raise rates if necessary. In August, the US economy exceeded job growth projections, even as wage increases slowed and the unemployment rate unexpectedly rose, adding complexity to the Federal Reserve's decision regarding borrowing costs at its upcoming policy meeting. Nonfarm payrolls expanded by 187,000 for the month, rebounding from a significantly downwardly revised figure of 157,000 for July, according to Labor Department data released on Friday. Analysts had anticipated a gain of 170,000 jobs. Average hourly earnings growth also moderated slightly, increasing by 0.2% compared to the previous month's 0.4%, while the unemployment rate accelerated to 3.8%. This mixed employment report complicates the assessment of a labor market that appears to be slowing, albeit remaining resilient.